Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica - Portugal Liga NOS - Journee 30 - samedi 19 avril 2025 à 19:30
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 0-3 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.1 pour Benfica. Vitória Guimarães a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 23% | 5,30 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,70 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Benfica ✓ | 50% | 1,59 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Portugal Liga NOS :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,50 | -2,0% |
| Benfica marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,10 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,91 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,91 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,22 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,25 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,85 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,36 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Vitória Guimarães | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,93 | 1,13 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 3 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 18 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 7 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 18 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 48 | 1.38 | WWWDWW | 8.8/10 |
| Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | +46 | 69 | 1.92 | WWWWWD | 9.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vitória Guimarães is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Vitória Guimarães at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Benfica's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Vitória Guimarães from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Vitória Guimarães has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Benfica, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Vitória Guimarães has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/29 games for Vitória Guimarães this season.
It's likely that Vitória Guimarães will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Benfica has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Benfica and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Vitória Guimarães end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Benfica when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Vitória Guimarães stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 7 games involving Benfica has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Vitória Guimarães get in on the action today? There has been a total of 22 goals in the last 5 games for Benfica, both home and away.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Vitória Guimarães, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Benfica, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (48% of all matches) involving Benfica has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Benfica will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Vitória Guimarães a perdu contre Benfica 0-3 en Portugal Liga NOS le samedi 19 avril 2025 à 19:30. xG du match : 1.9 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.1 pour Benfica. Possession : 58% pour Vitória Guimarães, 42% pour Benfica. Tirs : 18 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães, 8 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Vitória Guimarães 8.8/10, Benfica 9.5/10. Sur 36 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Vitória Guimarães, 7 nuls, 25 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 0-3 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.
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