Godoy Cruz vs Vélez Sarsfield - Liga Profesional Argentina - Journee 6 - lundi 25 août 2025 à 20:00
Stade : Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Score final : Godoy Cruz 0-2 Vélez Sarsfield
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Godoy Cruz favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 35%). L'algorithme avait prévu Godoy Cruz favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Godoy Cruz, 0.8 pour Vélez Sarsfield. Godoy Cruz a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Godoy Cruz | 37% | 2,35 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 35% | 3,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Vélez Sarsfield ✓ | 28% | 3,35 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Profesional Argentina :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Godoy Cruz marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,42 | 0,0% |
| Vélez Sarsfield marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,57 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,38 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,49 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,63 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 3,15 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 18% | 6,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,33 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,10 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Godoy Cruz vs Vélez Sarsfield :
| Statistique | Godoy Cruz | Vélez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,1 | 0,82 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 7 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 2 |
| Corners | 5 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 71 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 | 1.20 | LDDDLL | 1/10 |
| Vélez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 1.15 | LWDDLW | 3.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Godoy Cruz has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Godoy Cruz has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Godoy Cruz turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Godoy Cruz recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Godoy Cruz has fired blanks in 12 games this season. That's 57% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 4 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Godoy Cruz, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (33% of all matches) involving Godoy Cruz has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Vélez Sarsfield has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Vélez Sarsfield has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vélez Sarsfield will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Godoy Cruz, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Vélez Sarsfield recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Vélez Sarsfield has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 62% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Vélez Sarsfield has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/21 games for Vélez Sarsfield this season.
Godoy Cruz a perdu contre Vélez Sarsfield 0-2 en Liga Profesional Argentina le lundi 25 août 2025 à 20:00 au Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. xG du match : 1.1 pour Godoy Cruz, 0.8 pour Vélez Sarsfield. Possession : 57% pour Godoy Cruz, 43% pour Vélez Sarsfield. Tirs : 7 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Godoy Cruz, 6 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Vélez Sarsfield. Indice de forme : Godoy Cruz 1/10, Vélez Sarsfield 3.8/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Godoy Cruz, 5 nuls, 3 victoires Vélez Sarsfield.
Score final : Godoy Cruz 0-2 Vélez Sarsfield. L'algorithme avait prevu Godoy Cruz (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.