Unión Santa Fe vs Aldosivi - Liga Profesional Argentina - Journee 11 - samedi 4 octobre 2025 à 00:15
Stade : Estadio 15 de Abril
Score final : Unión Santa Fe 0-2 Aldosivi
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Unión Santa Fe favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Unión Santa Fe favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.0 pour Unión Santa Fe, 1.4 pour Aldosivi. Unión Santa Fe a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Unión Santa Fe | 54% | 1,75 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,45 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Aldosivi ✓ | 18% | 5,20 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Profesional Argentina :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Santa Fe marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,18 | -5,0% |
| Aldosivi marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,93 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,47 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,58 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,65 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,33 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 4,75 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,53 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,18 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Unión Santa Fe vs Aldosivi :
| Statistique | Unión Santa Fe | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,05 | 1,45 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 65% | 35% |
| Tirs | 20 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 71 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 | 1.49 | WDWWDD | 7.2/10 |
| Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 | 1.44 | DLLLLL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Unión Santa Fe has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Unión Santa Fe has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Unión Santa Fe at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Unión Santa Fe as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Unión Santa Fe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Aldosivi, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Unión Santa Fe has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 9 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Unión Santa Fe, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (46% of all matches) involving Unión Santa Fe has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Aldosivi has picked up 0 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Aldosivi has scored 0 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Aldosivi ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Aldosivi turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 0 draws and 5 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Aldosivi recently, with the side failing to score in 5 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Aldosivi has fired blanks in 16 games this season. That's 62% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 0 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Aldosivi has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/26 games for Aldosivi this season.
Aldosivi will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 6 matches. During the last five games they have scored 0 times and overall this season they have scored 0.73 goals per game.
Unión Santa Fe a perdu contre Aldosivi 0-2 en Liga Profesional Argentina le samedi 4 octobre 2025 à 00:15 au Estadio 15 de Abril. xG du match : 2.0 pour Unión Santa Fe, 1.4 pour Aldosivi. Possession : 65% pour Unión Santa Fe, 35% pour Aldosivi. Tirs : 20 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Unión Santa Fe, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Aldosivi. Indice de forme : Unión Santa Fe 7.2/10, Aldosivi 0/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Unión Santa Fe, 4 nuls, 2 victoires Aldosivi.
Score final : Unión Santa Fe 0-2 Aldosivi. L'algorithme avait prevu Unión Santa Fe (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.