Sport Recife vs São Paulo - Serie A Brésil - Journee 20 - samedi 16 août 2025 à 21:30
Stade : Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Score final : Sport Recife 2-2 São Paulo
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit São Paulo favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu São Paulo favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Sport Recife, 2.0 pour São Paulo. São Paulo a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sport Recife | 34% | 2,25 | -10,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 2,80 | -5,0% |
| Victoire São Paulo | 35% | 3,05 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A Brésil :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,33 | 0,0% |
| São Paulo marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,53 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 2,10 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,67 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,50 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 2,58 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 5,80 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,50 | -19,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,15 | -17,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sport Recife vs São Paulo :
| Statistique | Sport Recife | São Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,16 | 2,04 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 8 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 4 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -15 | 9 | 1.43 | LLDDDW | 3.7/10 |
| São Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 28 | 1.33 | DWWWWW | 9.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Sport Recife has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Sport Recife has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sport Recife has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Sport Recife as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Sport Recife will be looking to keep up the momentum today against São Paulo, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Sport Recife recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Sport Recife has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 53% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Sport Recife has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/17 games for Sport Recife this season.
Coming into this game, São Paulo has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. São Paulo has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
São Paulo has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for São Paulo as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
São Paulo has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
São Paulo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sport Recife, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for São Paulo has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/19 games for São Paulo this season.
It's likely that São Paulo will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Sport Recife a fait match nul contre São Paulo 2-2 en Serie A Brésil le samedi 16 août 2025 à 21:30 au Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. xG du match : 1.2 pour Sport Recife, 2.0 pour São Paulo. Possession : 34% pour Sport Recife, 66% pour São Paulo. Tirs : 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Sport Recife, 18 (dont 8 cadrés) pour São Paulo. Indice de forme : Sport Recife 3.7/10, São Paulo 9.2/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Sport Recife, 5 nuls, 9 victoires São Paulo.
Score final : Sport Recife 2-2 São Paulo. L'algorithme avait prevu São Paulo (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.