Paraguay vs Colombie - WC Qualification South America - Journee 6 - mardi 21 novembre 2023 à 23:00
Stade : General Pablo Rojas
Score final : Paraguay 0-1 Colombie
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paraguay favori avec 49% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu Paraguay favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Paraguay, 1.3 pour Colombie. Colombie a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paraguay | 49% | 3,50 | +20,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 2,90 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Colombie ✓ | 22% | 2,30 | -21,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,53 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Colombie marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,34 | -15,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,05 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,70 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 4,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,50 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,17 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paraguay vs Colombie :
| Statistique | Paraguay | Colombie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,99 | 1,31 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 41% | 59% |
| Tirs | 7 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 1.29 | DLLWD | 3/10 |
| Colombie | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 9 | 1.25 | WDDDW | 5.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Paraguay has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Paraguay has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Paraguay has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Paraguay has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Paraguay has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Paraguay recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Paraguay has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 80% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Paraguay has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Paraguay this season.
Coming into this game, Colombia has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Colombia has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Colombia has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Colombia as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Colombia has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Colombia is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Paraguay, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Colombia recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Colombia has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Colombia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Colombia this season.
Paraguay a perdu contre Colombie 0-1 en WC Qualification South America le mardi 21 novembre 2023 à 23:00 au General Pablo Rojas. xG du match : 1.0 pour Paraguay, 1.3 pour Colombie. Possession : 41% pour Paraguay, 59% pour Colombie. Tirs : 7 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Paraguay, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Colombie. Indice de forme : Paraguay 3/10, Colombie 5.7/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Paraguay, 2 nuls, 3 victoires Colombie.
Score final : Paraguay 0-1 Colombie. L'algorithme avait prevu Paraguay (49%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.