Uruguay vs Bolivie - WC Qualification South America - Journee 6 - mardi 21 novembre 2023 à 23:30
Stade : Estadio Centenario
Score final : Uruguay 2-1 Bolivie
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Uruguay favori avec 64% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Uruguay, 0.3 pour Bolivie. Uruguay a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Uruguay ✓ | 64% | 1,07 | -29,0% |
| Match nul | 22% | 11,00 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Bolivie | 14% | 29,00 | +11,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,03 | -11,0% |
| Bolivie marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 3,20 | +23,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,75 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,40 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,13 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,40 | -19,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 2,16 | -17,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,88 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,65 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Uruguay vs Bolivie :
| Statistique | Uruguay | Bolivie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,59 | 0,28 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 69% | 31% |
| Tirs | 14 | 3 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 0 |
| Corners | 7 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 11 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 | 1.03 | WLDWW | 7.9/10 |
| Bolivie | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 | 0.80 | LLLLW | 0.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Uruguay has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Uruguay has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Uruguay will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Uruguay has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Uruguay ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Uruguay will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bolivia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Uruguay, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Uruguay has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Uruguay will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Bolivia has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bolivia has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Bolivia recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Bolivia has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bolivia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Bolivia this season.
Uruguay a battu Bolivie 2-1 en WC Qualification South America le mardi 21 novembre 2023 à 23:30 au Estadio Centenario. xG du match : 1.6 pour Uruguay, 0.3 pour Bolivie. Possession : 69% pour Uruguay, 31% pour Bolivie. Tirs : 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Uruguay, 3 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Bolivie. Indice de forme : Uruguay 7.9/10, Bolivie 0.7/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Uruguay, 0 nul, 1 victoire Bolivie.
Score final : Uruguay 2-1 Bolivie. L'algorithme avait prevu Uruguay (64%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.