Argentine vs Chili - WC Qualification South America - Journee 7 - vendredi 6 septembre 2024 à 00:00
Stade : Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Score final : Argentine 3-0 Chili
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Argentine favori avec 49% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Argentine, 0.5 pour Chili. Argentine a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Argentine ✓ | 49% | 1,29 | -29,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 5,00 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Chili | 20% | 13,00 | +12,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentine marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,10 | -15,0% |
| Chili marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,91 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,75 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,40 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,30 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,05 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 19% | 3,40 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,75 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,33 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Argentine vs Chili :
| Statistique | Argentine | Chili |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,77 | 0,48 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 65% | 35% |
| Tirs | 13 | 3 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 1 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 29 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentine | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 | 1.21 | WWWWLW | 7.5/10 |
| Chili | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | 1.11 | LDWLDL | 2.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Argentina has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Argentina has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Argentina has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Argentina will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Chile, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Argentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/6 games for Argentina this season.
Coming into this game, Chile has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Chile has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Chile has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Chile recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Chile has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 67% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Chile has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/6 games for Chile this season.
Chile will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.5 goals per game.
Argentine a battu Chili 3-0 en WC Qualification South America le vendredi 6 septembre 2024 à 00:00 au Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti. xG du match : 1.8 pour Argentine, 0.5 pour Chili. Possession : 65% pour Argentine, 35% pour Chili. Tirs : 13 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Argentine, 3 (dont 1 cadré) pour Chili. Indice de forme : Argentine 7.5/10, Chili 2.1/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Argentine, 3 nuls, 0 victoire Chili.
Score final : Argentine 3-0 Chili. L'algorithme avait prevu Argentine (49%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.