Malawi vs Liberia - WC Qualification Africa - Journee 8 - lundi 8 septembre 2025 à 16:00
Score final : Malawi 2-2 Liberia
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (36% / 36% / 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Malawi, 0.7 pour Liberia. Malawi a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Malawi | 36% | 1,90 | -17,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 36% | 3,10 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Liberia | 28% | 4,80 | +7,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification Africa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,30 | -9,0% |
| Liberia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,72 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,40 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,50 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,50 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 35% | 2,80 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 16% | 5,35 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,38 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 84% | 1,11 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Malawi vs Liberia :
| Statistique | Malawi | Liberia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,87 | 0,73 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Tirs | 11 | 4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 113 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | 1.00 | LWLLLW | 2.4/10 |
| Liberia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | 1.20 | LDWLWL | 2.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Malawi has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Malawi has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Malawi recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Malawi has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 57% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Malawi has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/7 games for Malawi this season.
Coming into this game, Liberia has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Liberia has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Liberia recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Liberia has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Liberia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/7 games for Liberia this season.
Malawi a fait match nul contre Liberia 2-2 en WC Qualification Africa le lundi 8 septembre 2025 à 16:00. xG du match : 1.9 pour Malawi, 0.7 pour Liberia. Possession : 62% pour Malawi, 38% pour Liberia. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Malawi, 4 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Liberia. Indice de forme : Malawi 2.4/10, Liberia 2.5/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Malawi, 0 nul, 0 victoire Liberia.
Score final : Malawi 2-2 Liberia. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.