Colombie vs Chili - WC Qualification South America - Journee 10 - mardi 15 octobre 2024 à 20:30
Stade : Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Score final : Colombie 4-0 Chili
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Colombie favori avec 63% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Colombie, 0.8 pour Chili. Colombie a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Colombie ✓ | 63% | 1,36 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 4,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Chili | 11% | 10,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombie marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,17 | -5,0% |
| Chili marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 39% | 1,95 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,63 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,44 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,42 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,20 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 16% | 4,50 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,65 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 84% | 1,20 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Colombie vs Chili :
| Statistique | Colombie | Chili |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,95 | 0,79 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Tirs | 13 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 2 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 70 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombie | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 | 1.39 | DWWDWL | 5.8/10 |
| Chili | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 | 1.08 | LDLLLL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Colombia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Colombia has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Colombia has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Colombia will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Colombia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Chile, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Colombia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (44% of all matches) involving Colombia has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Chile has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Chile has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Chile has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Colombia get in on the action today? There has been a total of 10 goals in the last 5 games for Chile, both home and away.
Can Chile turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Chile recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Chile has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 56% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Chile has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/9 games for Chile this season.
Colombie a battu Chili 4-0 en WC Qualification South America le mardi 15 octobre 2024 à 20:30 au Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez. xG du match : 1.9 pour Colombie, 0.8 pour Chili. Possession : 62% pour Colombie, 38% pour Chili. Tirs : 13 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Colombie, 7 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Chili. Indice de forme : Colombie 5.8/10, Chili 0/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Colombie, 6 nuls, 0 victoire Chili.
Score final : Colombie 4-0 Chili. L'algorithme avait prevu Colombie (63%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.