Paraguay vs Venezuela - WC Qualification South America - Journee 10 - mardi 15 octobre 2024 à 23:00
Stade : Estadio La Asunción
Score final : Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paraguay favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Paraguay, 0.7 pour Venezuela. Paraguay a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paraguay ✓ | 48% | 2,10 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Venezuela | 18% | 4,00 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,28 | -7,0% |
| Venezuela marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,77 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,50 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,50 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,57 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 3,10 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 13% | 5,00 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,17 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paraguay vs Venezuela :
| Statistique | Paraguay | Venezuela |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,38 | 0,7 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Tirs | 10 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 22 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | 1.04 | WDLDWD | 4.5/10 |
| Venezuela | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 | 1.08 | WDDLDD | 4/10 |
Coming into this game, Paraguay has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Paraguay has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Paraguay has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Paraguay has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Paraguay will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Venezuela, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Paraguay recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Paraguay has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 78% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Paraguay has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/9 games for Paraguay this season.
Coming into this game, Venezuela has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Venezuela has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Venezuela has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Venezuela will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Paraguay, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 0 and drawn 4
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Venezuela recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Venezuela has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Venezuela has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/9 games for Venezuela this season.
Paraguay a battu Venezuela 2-1 en WC Qualification South America le mardi 15 octobre 2024 à 23:00 au Estadio La Asunción. xG du match : 1.4 pour Paraguay, 0.7 pour Venezuela. Possession : 61% pour Paraguay, 39% pour Venezuela. Tirs : 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Paraguay, 5 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Venezuela. Indice de forme : Paraguay 4.5/10, Venezuela 4/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Paraguay, 0 nul, 2 victoires Venezuela.
Score final : Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela. L'algorithme avait prevu Paraguay (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.