Paraguay vs Argentine - WC Qualification South America - Journee 11 - jeudi 14 novembre 2024 à 23:30
Stade : General Pablo Rojas
Score final : Paraguay 2-1 Argentine
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (34% / 37% / 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.6 pour Paraguay, 0.9 pour Argentine. Argentine a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Paraguay ✓ | 34% | 4,75 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 37% | 3,25 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Argentine | 29% | 1,85 | -25,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,85 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Argentine marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,22 | -20,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,50 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,48 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 2,88 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 15% | 5,00 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,40 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,17 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Paraguay vs Argentine :
| Statistique | Paraguay | Argentine |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,61 | 0,86 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 23% | 77% |
| Tirs | 4 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 1 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 28 | 46 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1.08 | DLDWDW | 5/10 |
| Argentine | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 | 1.27 | LWWLDW | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Paraguay has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Paraguay has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Paraguay as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Paraguay has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Paraguay will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Argentina, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Paraguay recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Paraguay has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 70% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Paraguay has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/10 games for Paraguay this season.
Coming into this game, Argentina has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Argentina has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Argentina when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Paraguay stop this run?
Argentina has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Argentina ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Argentina has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Argentina will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Paraguay, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Argentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/10 games for Argentina this season.
It's likely that Argentina will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Paraguay a battu Argentine 2-1 en WC Qualification South America le jeudi 14 novembre 2024 à 23:30 au General Pablo Rojas. xG du match : 0.6 pour Paraguay, 0.9 pour Argentine. Possession : 23% pour Paraguay, 77% pour Argentine. Tirs : 4 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Paraguay, 7 (dont 1 cadré) pour Argentine. Indice de forme : Paraguay 5/10, Argentine 5.9/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Paraguay, 4 nuls, 2 victoires Argentine.
Score final : Paraguay 2-1 Argentine. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.