Pérou vs Chili - WC Qualification South America - Journee 11 - samedi 16 novembre 2024 à 01:30
Stade : Estadio Monumental
Score final : Pérou 0-0 Chili
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Pérou favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Pérou favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Pérou, 1.3 pour Chili. Pérou a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Pérou | 50% | 2,40 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 2,63 | -7,0% |
| Victoire Chili | 19% | 3,70 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pérou marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Chili marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,53 | -13,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,63 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,44 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,51 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 3,60 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 17% | 5,40 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,29 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,16 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Pérou vs Chili :
| Statistique | Pérou | Chili |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,32 | 1,25 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 41% | 59% |
| Tirs | 9 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 5 |
| Corners | 4 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pérou | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 | 0.62 | LDDLWL | 2.3/10 |
| Chili | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 | 1.05 | DLLLLL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Peru has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Peru has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Peru has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Chile's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Peru from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Peru recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Peru has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 70% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Peru has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/10 games for Peru this season.
Coming into this game, Chile has picked up 0 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Chile has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Chile has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Peru get in on the action today? There has been a total of 14 goals in the last 5 games for Chile, both home and away.
Can Chile turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 0 draws and 5 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Chile recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Chile has fired blanks in 6 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Chile has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/10 games for Chile this season.
Pérou a fait match nul contre Chili 0-0 en WC Qualification South America le samedi 16 novembre 2024 à 01:30 au Estadio Monumental. xG du match : 1.3 pour Pérou, 1.3 pour Chili. Possession : 41% pour Pérou, 59% pour Chili. Tirs : 9 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Pérou, 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Chili. Indice de forme : Pérou 2.3/10, Chili 0/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Pérou, 1 nul, 4 victoires Chili.
Score final : Pérou 0-0 Chili. L'algorithme avait prevu Pérou (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.