Uruguay vs Colombie - WC Qualification South America - Journee 11 - samedi 16 novembre 2024 à 00:00
Score final : Uruguay 3-2 Colombie
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Uruguay favori avec 43% de chances de victoire (nul 36%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Uruguay, 1.1 pour Colombie. Uruguay a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Uruguay ✓ | 43% | 2,10 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 36% | 3,10 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Colombie | 21% | 3,90 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,30 | -9,0% |
| Colombie marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,57 | -13,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,10 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,67 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,51 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 28% | 2,50 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 12% | 5,00 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,50 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 88% | 1,18 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Uruguay vs Colombie :
| Statistique | Uruguay | Colombie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,29 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 10 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42 | 22 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | 1.03 | WWDDLD | 4.9/10 |
| Colombie | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 | 1.44 | WWDWLW | 7/10 |
Coming into this game, Uruguay has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Uruguay has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Uruguay at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Uruguay has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Uruguay will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Colombia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Uruguay recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Uruguay has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Uruguay has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/10 games for Uruguay this season.
Uruguay will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 4 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 1.2 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Colombia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Colombia has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Colombia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Uruguay, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Colombia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/10 games for Colombia this season.
Uruguay a battu Colombie 3-2 en WC Qualification South America le samedi 16 novembre 2024 à 00:00. xG du match : 1.3 pour Uruguay, 1.1 pour Colombie. Possession : 45% pour Uruguay, 55% pour Colombie. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Uruguay, 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Colombie. Indice de forme : Uruguay 4.9/10, Colombie 7/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Uruguay, 4 nuls, 2 victoires Colombie.
Score final : Uruguay 3-2 Colombie. L'algorithme avait prevu Uruguay (43%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.