Équateur vs Argentine - International WC Qualification South America - Journee 18 - mardi 9 septembre 2025 à 23:00
Score final : Équateur 1-0 Argentine
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (31% / 38% / 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré — résultat inattendu.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Équateur, 1.0 pour Argentine. Équateur a dominé les occasions créées.
Notre modele a analyse les marches de paris pour cette rencontre de International WC Qualification South America :
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Équateur vs Argentine :
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Équateur | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +8 | 29 | 1.09 | WWDDDD | 5.5/10 |
| Argentine | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 38 | 1.28 | WWWWDW | 9.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Ecuador has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Ecuador has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Ecuador at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Ecuador as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Ecuador has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Ecuador is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Argentina, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 2 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Ecuador recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Ecuador has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 59% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Ecuador has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/17 games for Ecuador this season.
Ecuador will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 4 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.76 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Argentina has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Argentina has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Argentina has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Argentina when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Ecuador stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Argentina as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Argentina has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Argentina is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Ecuador, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Argentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/17 games for Argentina this season.
It's likely that Argentina will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Équateur a battu Argentine 1-0 en International WC Qualification South America le mardi 9 septembre 2025 à 23:00. xG du match : 1.2 pour Équateur, 1.0 pour Argentine. Possession : 43% pour Équateur, 57% pour Argentine. Tirs : 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Équateur, 8 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Argentine. Indice de forme : Équateur 5.5/10, Argentine 9.1/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Équateur, 2 nuls, 7 victoires Argentine.
Score final : Équateur 1-0 Argentine. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
La plus grande Coupe du Monde de l'histoire s'est achevée le 19 juillet : 48 nations, 104 matchs, 308 buts (record absolu), et l'Espagne sacrée face à l'Argentine (1-0 a.p.). Pronalgo a couvert chaque match : pronostics, xG, probabilités et analyses data. Retrouvez le débrief complet de la finale et le bilan transparent des projections de l'algorithme (pick titre Espagne dès le 11 juin, 10 vainqueurs de groupe sur 12).
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