Croatie vs Espagne - Ligue des Nations - dimanche 18 juin 2023 à 18:45
Stade : Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam)
Score final : Croatie 0-0 Espagne
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Espagne favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 38%). L'algorithme avait prévu Espagne favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Croatie, 1.3 pour Espagne. Croatie a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Croatie | 20% | 4,50 | -2,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 38% | 3,60 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Espagne | 42% | 1,90 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatie marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,44 | -22,0% |
| Espagne marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,22 | -16,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 31% | 1,83 | -24,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,83 | +14,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,32 | -25,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 2,10 | -24,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 9% | 3,60 | -19,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,75 | +19,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,27 | +12,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Croatie vs Espagne :
| Statistique | Croatie | Espagne |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,47 | 1,27 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 10 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 66 | 67 |
Coming into this game, Croatia has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Croatia has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Croatia has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Croatia as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Croatia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Spain get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for Croatia, both home and away.
Croatia is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Spain, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Croatia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (57% of all matches) involving Croatia has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Croatia will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Spain has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Spain has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Spain has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Spain has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Spain will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Croatia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Spain has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/6 games for Spain this season.
It's likely that Spain will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Croatie a fait match nul contre Espagne 0-0 en Ligue des Nations le dimanche 18 juin 2023 à 18:45 au Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam). xG du match : 1.5 pour Croatie, 1.3 pour Espagne. Possession : 46% pour Croatie, 54% pour Espagne. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Croatie, 10 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Espagne. Indice de forme : Croatie 9.4/10, Espagne 6.9/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Croatie, 0 nul, 2 victoires Espagne.
Score final : Croatie 0-0 Espagne. L'algorithme avait prevu Espagne (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.