Cremonese vs Catanzaro - Serie B - samedi 25 mai 2024 à 18:30
Stade : Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)
Score final : Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Cremonese favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Cremonese, 1.1 pour Catanzaro. Cremonese a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cremonese ✓ | 50% | 1,62 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 4,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Catanzaro | 22% | 4,60 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,10 | -11,0% |
| Catanzaro marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,42 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,62 | -13,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 2,20 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,17 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,75 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 25% | 2,45 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,96 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,48 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cremonese vs Catanzaro :
| Statistique | Cremonese | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,7 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 17 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 24 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.68 | DWDLDW | 5.5/10 |
| Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.28 | WLLDLW | 3.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Cremonese has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Cremonese has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Catanzaro's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cremonese from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Cremonese as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Cremonese ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Cremonese will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Catanzaro, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Cremonese, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (46% of all matches) involving Cremonese has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Cremonese will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Catanzaro has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Catanzaro has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Catanzaro has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Catanzaro has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Cremonese get in on the action today? There has been a total of 20 goals in the last 5 games for Catanzaro, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Catanzaro, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 23 matches (58% of all matches) involving Catanzaro has seen BTTS landing.
Cremonese a battu Catanzaro 4-1 en Serie B le samedi 25 mai 2024 à 18:30 au Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona). xG du match : 1.7 pour Cremonese, 1.1 pour Catanzaro. Possession : 46% pour Cremonese, 54% pour Catanzaro. Tirs : 17 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Cremonese, 15 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Catanzaro. Indice de forme : Cremonese 5.5/10, Catanzaro 3.8/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Cremonese, 3 nuls, 0 victoire Catanzaro.
Score final : Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro. L'algorithme avait prevu Cremonese (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.