LASK Linz vs Salzburg - Bundesliga autrichienne - Journee 4 - vendredi 12 avril 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)
Score final : LASK Linz 3-1 Salzburg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Salzburg favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu Salzburg favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour LASK Linz, 1.4 pour Salzburg. Salzburg a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire LASK Linz ✓ | 25% | 4,08 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,66 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Salzburg | 44% | 1,89 | -9,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga autrichienne :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| LASK Linz marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,50 | 0,0% |
| Salzburg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,18 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,90 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 3,40 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,95 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,33 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour LASK Linz vs Salzburg :
| Statistique | LASK Linz | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,21 | 1,4 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 36% | 64% |
| Tirs | 14 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 0 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 32 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LASK Linz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1.40 | LWWWDL | 2.1/10 |
| Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | 1.64 | WLDLWW | 9.4/10 |
Coming into this game, LASK Linz has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. LASK Linz has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
LASK Linz has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for LASK Linz recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
LASK Linz has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for LASK Linz has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/25 games for LASK Linz this season.
Coming into this game, Salzburg has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Salzburg has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Salzburg away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 12 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Salzburg as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Salzburg has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 14 occasions.
Salzburg is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against LASK Linz, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Salzburg has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/25 games for Salzburg this season.
It's likely that Salzburg will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
LASK Linz a battu Salzburg 3-1 en Bundesliga autrichienne le vendredi 12 avril 2024 à 17:30 au Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). xG du match : 1.2 pour LASK Linz, 1.4 pour Salzburg. Possession : 36% pour LASK Linz, 64% pour Salzburg. Tirs : 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour LASK Linz, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Salzburg. Indice de forme : LASK Linz 2.1/10, Salzburg 9.4/10. Sur 28 confrontations directes : 3 victoires LASK Linz, 7 nuls, 18 victoires Salzburg.
Score final : LASK Linz 3-1 Salzburg. L'algorithme avait prevu Salzburg (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.