Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro - Serie B - Journee 6 - dimanche 24 septembre 2023 à 14:15
Stade : Stadio Comunale San Nicola (Bari)
Score final : Bari 1908 2-2 Catanzaro
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bari 1908 favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Bari 1908 favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Bari 1908, 1.2 pour Catanzaro. Bari 1908 a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bari 1908 | 36% | 2,20 | -9,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 32% | 3,05 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Catanzaro | 32% | 3,45 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bari 1908 marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,36 | 0,0% |
| Catanzaro marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,50 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 2,05 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,70 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,45 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,40 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 4,50 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,50 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,18 | -12,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro :
| Statistique | Bari 1908 | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,51 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 44% | 56% |
| Tirs | 16 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 37 | 24 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari 1908 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 1.07 | DDWDDD | 5.1/10 |
| Catanzaro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1.32 | WLDWLW | 5.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Bari 1908 has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bari 1908 has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bari 1908 has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Bari 1908 as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Bari 1908 has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Bari 1908 is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Catanzaro, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 3 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Bari 1908 ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Bari 1908 has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bari 1908 has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Bari 1908 this season.
Coming into this game, Catanzaro has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Catanzaro has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Catanzaro a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série d'invincibilité de 2 matchs.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Catanzaro has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Bari 1908 get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for Catanzaro, both home and away.
Catanzaro will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bari 1908, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Catanzaro recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Catanzaro has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 9 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Catanzaro has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Catanzaro this season.
Bari 1908 a fait match nul contre Catanzaro 2-2 en Serie B le dimanche 24 septembre 2023 à 14:15 au Stadio Comunale San Nicola (Bari). xG du match : 1.5 pour Bari 1908, 1.2 pour Catanzaro. Possession : 44% pour Bari 1908, 56% pour Catanzaro. Tirs : 16 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Bari 1908, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Catanzaro. Indice de forme : Bari 1908 5.1/10, Catanzaro 5.6/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Bari 1908, 1 nul, 1 victoire Catanzaro.
Score final : Bari 1908 2-2 Catanzaro. L'algorithme avait prevu Bari 1908 (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.