SD Eibar vs Racing Club de Ferrol - Liga 2 - Journee 6 - dimanche 17 septembre 2023 à 14:15
Stade : Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa (Eibar)
Score final : SD Eibar 2-0 Racing Club de Ferrol
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit SD Eibar favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour SD Eibar, 0.9 pour Racing Club de Ferrol. SD Eibar a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire SD Eibar ✓ | 41% | 1,78 | -15,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,15 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Racing Club de Ferrol | 25% | 4,60 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SD Eibar marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,29 | -7,0% |
| Racing Club de Ferrol marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,73 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,25 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,57 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,50 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,56 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 17% | 5,25 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,39 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,17 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour SD Eibar vs Racing Club de Ferrol :
| Statistique | SD Eibar | Racing Club de Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 0,86 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 14 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 49 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD Eibar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 | 1.37 | LWLWLW | 0.4/10 |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 | 1.29 | LWDWDD | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, SD Eibar has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. SD Eibar has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for SD Eibar recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
SD Eibar has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for SD Eibar has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for SD Eibar this season.
SD Eibar will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.6 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Racing Club de Ferrol has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Racing Club de Ferrol has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Racing Club de Ferrol has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Racing Club de Ferrol as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Racing Club de Ferrol ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Racing Club de Ferrol is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against SD Eibar, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Racing Club de Ferrol, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Racing Club de Ferrol has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Racing Club de Ferrol will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
SD Eibar a battu Racing Club de Ferrol 2-0 en Liga 2 le dimanche 17 septembre 2023 à 14:15 au Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa (Eibar). xG du match : 1.4 pour SD Eibar, 0.9 pour Racing Club de Ferrol. Possession : 55% pour SD Eibar, 45% pour Racing Club de Ferrol. Tirs : 14 (dont 7 cadrés) pour SD Eibar, 9 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Racing Club de Ferrol. Indice de forme : SD Eibar 0.4/10, Racing Club de Ferrol 6.2/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 1 victoire SD Eibar, 1 nul, 0 victoire Racing Club de Ferrol.
Score final : SD Eibar 2-0 Racing Club de Ferrol. L'algorithme avait prevu SD Eibar (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.