Parma vs Bari 1908 - Serie B - Journee 7 - mercredi 27 septembre 2023 à 18:30
Stade : Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Score final : Parma 2-1 Bari 1908
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Parma, 1.5 pour Bari 1908. Bari 1908 a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Parma ✓ | 39% | 2,15 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Bari 1908 | 28% | 3,40 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,27 | -6,0% |
| Bari 1908 marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,46 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,87 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,87 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,36 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,10 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 22% | 3,75 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,65 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Parma vs Bari 1908 :
| Statistique | Parma | Bari 1908 |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 1,47 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 42% | 58% |
| Tirs | 13 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 14 | 1.43 | WWWDWD | 8.4/10 |
| Bari 1908 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 1.15 | DWDDDD | 4.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Parma has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Parma has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Parma has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Bari 1908, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Parma has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/6 games for Parma this season.
Coming into this game, Bari 1908 has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Bari 1908 has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bari 1908 has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Bari 1908 as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Bari 1908 is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Parma, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Bari 1908, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (50% of all matches) involving Bari 1908 has seen BTTS landing.
Parma a battu Bari 1908 2-1 en Serie B le mercredi 27 septembre 2023 à 18:30 au Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). xG du match : 1.4 pour Parma, 1.5 pour Bari 1908. Possession : 42% pour Parma, 58% pour Bari 1908. Tirs : 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Parma, 16 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Bari 1908. Indice de forme : Parma 8.4/10, Bari 1908 4.8/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Parma, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Bari 1908.
Score final : Parma 2-1 Bari 1908. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.