Plymouth Argyle vs Norwich City - Championship - Journee 8 - samedi 23 septembre 2023 à 14:00
Stade : Home Park (Plymouth)
Score final : Plymouth Argyle 6-2 Norwich City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Plymouth Argyle favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Plymouth Argyle, 1.4 pour Norwich City. Plymouth Argyle a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Plymouth Argyle ✓ | 35% | 2,90 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,65 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Norwich City | 33% | 2,03 | -16,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Argyle marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,33 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Norwich City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,23 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,67 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,10 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,24 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,94 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 2,35 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,94 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,52 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Plymouth Argyle vs Norwich City :
| Statistique | Plymouth Argyle | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,91 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 6 | 2 |
| Possession | 31% | 69% |
| Tirs | 18 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 11 | 7 |
| Corners | 3 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 26 | 59 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Argyle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | DLLWLL | 1.6/10 |
| Norwich City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 | 1.59 | DWLWWW | 4.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Plymouth Argyle has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Plymouth Argyle has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Plymouth Argyle will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Plymouth Argyle has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Norwich City get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Plymouth Argyle, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Plymouth Argyle, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (71% of all matches) involving Plymouth Argyle has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Plymouth Argyle will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Norwich City has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Norwich City has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Norwich City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Plymouth Argyle, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Norwich City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (67% of all matches) involving Norwich City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Norwich City will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Plymouth Argyle a battu Norwich City 6-2 en Championship le samedi 23 septembre 2023 à 14:00 au Home Park (Plymouth). xG du match : 1.9 pour Plymouth Argyle, 1.4 pour Norwich City. Possession : 31% pour Plymouth Argyle, 69% pour Norwich City. Tirs : 18 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Plymouth Argyle, 12 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Norwich City. Indice de forme : Plymouth Argyle 1.6/10, Norwich City 4.8/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Plymouth Argyle, 0 nul, 2 victoires Norwich City.
Score final : Plymouth Argyle 6-2 Norwich City. L'algorithme avait prevu Plymouth Argyle (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.