Sunderland vs Cardiff City - Championship - Journee 8 - dimanche 24 septembre 2023 à 14:00
Stade : Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Score final : Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sunderland favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Sunderland favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Sunderland, 0.9 pour Cardiff City. Sunderland a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sunderland | 48% | 1,89 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Cardiff City ✓ | 23% | 4,20 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,17 | -6,0% |
| Cardiff City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,44 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,67 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,28 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,85 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 3,10 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,01 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sunderland vs Cardiff City :
| Statistique | Sunderland | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,74 | 0,88 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 66% | 34% |
| Tirs | 17 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 83 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 13 | 1.58 | LWDWWW | 8.1/10 |
| Cardiff City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | 1.25 | WWWWLL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Sunderland has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sunderland has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sunderland will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Sunderland as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Sunderland has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Cardiff City get in on the action today? There has been a total of 16 goals in the last 5 games for Sunderland, both home and away.
Sunderland is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Cardiff City, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Sunderland, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (71% of all matches) involving Sunderland has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Cardiff City has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Cardiff City has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cardiff City has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Cardiff City ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Cardiff City, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (86% of all matches) involving Cardiff City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Cardiff City will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Sunderland a perdu contre Cardiff City 0-1 en Championship le dimanche 24 septembre 2023 à 14:00 au Stadium of Light (Sunderland). xG du match : 1.7 pour Sunderland, 0.9 pour Cardiff City. Possession : 66% pour Sunderland, 34% pour Cardiff City. Tirs : 17 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Sunderland, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Cardiff City. Indice de forme : Sunderland 8.1/10, Cardiff City 4.1/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Sunderland, 1 nul, 3 victoires Cardiff City.
Score final : Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff City. L'algorithme avait prevu Sunderland (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.