Laval vs Valenciennes - Ligue 2 - Journee 9 - samedi 30 septembre 2023 à 17:00
Stade : Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)
Score final : Laval 1-0 Valenciennes
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Laval favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.2 pour Laval, 0.9 pour Valenciennes. Laval a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Laval ✓ | 42% | 1,62 | -20,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,40 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Valenciennes | 27% | 5,00 | +7,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laval marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,24 | -4,0% |
| Valenciennes marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,68 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,73 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,42 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 4,10 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,70 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,20 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Laval vs Valenciennes :
| Statistique | Laval | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,23 | 0,95 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 18 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 82 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 | 1.35 | WDWWWW | 9.1/10 |
| Valenciennes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | 1.20 | DWDLDL | 2.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Laval has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Laval has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Laval is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Laval will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Laval as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Laval has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Laval is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Valenciennes, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Laval has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/8 games for Laval this season.
It's likely that Laval will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Valenciennes has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Valenciennes has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Valenciennes has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Valenciennes has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Valenciennes ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Valenciennes has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 63% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Valenciennes has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/8 games for Valenciennes this season.
Valenciennes will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.38 goals per game.
Laval a battu Valenciennes 1-0 en Ligue 2 le samedi 30 septembre 2023 à 17:00 au Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval). xG du match : 2.2 pour Laval, 0.9 pour Valenciennes. Possession : 48% pour Laval, 52% pour Valenciennes. Tirs : 18 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Laval, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Valenciennes. Indice de forme : Laval 9.1/10, Valenciennes 2.9/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Laval, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Valenciennes.
Score final : Laval 1-0 Valenciennes. L'algorithme avait prevu Laval (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.