Standard Liège vs Club Brugge - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 10 - dimanche 8 octobre 2023 à 11:30
Stade : Stade Maurice Dufrasne (Liège (Luik))
Score final : Standard Liège 2-1 Club Brugge
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Club Brugge favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Club Brugge favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Standard Liège, 1.9 pour Club Brugge. Club Brugge a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Standard Liège ✓ | 22% | 4,50 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 4,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Club Brugge | 50% | 1,67 | -10,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,38 | -10,0% |
| Club Brugge marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,10 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,57 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,25 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,16 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,53 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 2,38 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,38 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,58 | +11,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Standard Liège vs Club Brugge :
| Statistique | Standard Liège | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,15 | 1,9 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 8 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 8 |
| Corners | 1 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 30 | 80 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 1.29 | LWLWLD | 5.7/10 |
| Club Brugge | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +13 | 19 | 1.86 | WWLDWW | 5.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Standard Liège has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Standard Liège has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Standard Liège has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Standard Liège as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Standard Liège is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Club Brugge, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Standard Liège has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Standard Liège, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (56% of all matches) involving Standard Liège has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Club Brugge has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Club Brugge has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Club Brugge as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Club Brugge ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Club Brugge will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Standard Liège, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
The last 5 games for Club Brugge has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Club Brugge has seen a total of 7/9 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 78% of all matches played.
It's likely that Club Brugge will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Standard Liège a battu Club Brugge 2-1 en Jupiler Pro League le dimanche 8 octobre 2023 à 11:30 au Stade Maurice Dufrasne (Liège (Luik)). xG du match : 1.1 pour Standard Liège, 1.9 pour Club Brugge. Possession : 34% pour Standard Liège, 66% pour Club Brugge. Tirs : 8 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Standard Liège, 17 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Club Brugge. Indice de forme : Standard Liège 5.7/10, Club Brugge 5.2/10. Sur 23 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Standard Liège, 9 nuls, 9 victoires Club Brugge.
Score final : Standard Liège 2-1 Club Brugge. L'algorithme avait prevu Club Brugge (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.