Burgos CF vs Villarreal II - Liga 2 - Journee 11 - dimanche 15 octobre 2023 à 12:00
Stade : Estadio Municipal de El Plantío (Burgos)
Score final : Burgos CF 3-2 Villarreal II
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Burgos CF favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Burgos CF, 1.3 pour Villarreal II. Burgos CF a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Burgos CF ✓ | 45% | 1,73 | -13,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,29 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Villarreal II | 25% | 4,02 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos CF marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,25 | -3,0% |
| Villarreal II marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,48 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,85 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,90 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,35 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,83 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 24% | 3,75 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,77 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,25 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Burgos CF vs Villarreal II :
| Statistique | Burgos CF | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,4 | 1,27 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 12 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 9 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos CF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 1.35 | WLDWLL | 4.4/10 |
| Villarreal II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 | 1.34 | DDWDDW | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Burgos CF has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Burgos CF has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Burgos CF is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Burgos CF at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Le Burgos CF aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Burgos CF has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Burgos CF has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Burgos CF this season.
Coming into this game, Villarreal II has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Villarreal II has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Villarreal II has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Villarreal II as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Villarreal II ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Villarreal II is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Burgos CF, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Villarreal II has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Villarreal II has seen a total of 8/10 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 80% of all matches played.
It's likely that Villarreal II will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Burgos CF a battu Villarreal II 3-2 en Liga 2 le dimanche 15 octobre 2023 à 12:00 au Estadio Municipal de El Plantío (Burgos). xG du match : 1.4 pour Burgos CF, 1.3 pour Villarreal II. Possession : 40% pour Burgos CF, 60% pour Villarreal II. Tirs : 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Burgos CF, 13 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Villarreal II. Indice de forme : Burgos CF 4.4/10, Villarreal II 6.2/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Burgos CF, 1 nul, 0 victoire Villarreal II.
Score final : Burgos CF 3-2 Villarreal II. L'algorithme avait prevu Burgos CF (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.