Aris vs Panathinaikos - Super League grèque - Journee 12 - dimanche 26 novembre 2023 à 18:30
Stade : Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis (Thessaloníki)
Score final : Aris 2-0 Panathinaikos
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Panathinaikos favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Panathinaikos favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Aris, 2.2 pour Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Aris ✓ | 26% | 3,10 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,25 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Panathinaikos | 44% | 2,05 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aris marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,43 | 0,0% |
| Panathinaikos marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,25 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,80 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,95 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,36 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,99 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 3,75 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,79 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,28 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Aris vs Panathinaikos :
| Statistique | Aris | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,18 | 2,2 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 11 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 9 |
| Corners | 1 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 26 | 75 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 | 1.49 | WWLDWW | 5.1/10 |
| Panathinaikos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +26 | 28 | 1.73 | DDWDWL | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Aris has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Aris has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Aris aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Aris has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 6 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Aris has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Aris will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Panathinaikos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Aris has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/11 games for Aris this season.
It's likely that Aris will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Panathinaikos has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Panathinaikos has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superbe parcours du Panathinaikos à l'extérieur, où il est actuellement invaincu depuis 6 matchs. Pourront-ils enchaîner un nouveau match sans défaite ?
Scoring is not an issue for Panathinaikos when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Aris stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Panathinaikos as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Panathinaikos has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Panathinaikos is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Aris, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Panathinaikos has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/11 games for Panathinaikos this season.
It's likely that Panathinaikos will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Aris a battu Panathinaikos 2-0 en Super League grèque le dimanche 26 novembre 2023 à 18:30 au Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis (Thessaloníki). xG du match : 1.2 pour Aris, 2.2 pour Panathinaikos. Possession : 38% pour Aris, 62% pour Panathinaikos. Tirs : 11 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Aris, 16 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Panathinaikos. Indice de forme : Aris 5.1/10, Panathinaikos 2/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Aris, 5 nuls, 11 victoires Panathinaikos.
Score final : Aris 2-0 Panathinaikos. L'algorithme avait prevu Panathinaikos (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.