Feyenoord vs AZ - Eredivisie - Journee 12 - dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 15:45
Stade : Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam)
Score final : Feyenoord 1-0 AZ
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Feyenoord favori avec 49% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Feyenoord, 0.7 pour AZ. Feyenoord a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Feyenoord ✓ | 49% | 2,45 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 25% | 2,71 | -12,0% |
| Victoire AZ | 26% | 3,02 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,11 | -4,0% |
| AZ marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,47 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,67 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 35% | 2,10 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 85% | 1,17 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,57 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,25 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,57 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Feyenoord vs AZ :
| Statistique | Feyenoord | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,29 | 0,66 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 11 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 2 |
| Corners | 2 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +26 | 26 | 2.33 | WWWWWW | 8.7/10 |
| AZ | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 26 | 1.64 | WDWWWD | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Feyenoord has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Feyenoord has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Feyenoord is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superbe parcours de Feyenoord à domicile, où l'équipe est actuellement invaincue depuis 5 matchs. Peuvent-ils enchaîner un nouveau match sans défaite ?
AZ's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Feyenoord from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Feyenoord ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Feyenoord will be looking to keep up the momentum today against AZ, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Feyenoord, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (64% of all matches) involving Feyenoord has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Feyenoord will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, AZ has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. AZ has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from AZ away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for AZ when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Feyenoord stop this run?
Momentum is really building for AZ as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for AZ ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
AZ is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Feyenoord, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for AZ, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (50% of all matches) involving AZ has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that AZ will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Feyenoord a battu AZ 1-0 en Eredivisie le dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 15:45 au Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam). xG du match : 1.3 pour Feyenoord, 0.7 pour AZ. Possession : 55% pour Feyenoord, 45% pour AZ. Tirs : 11 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Feyenoord, 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour AZ. Indice de forme : Feyenoord 8.7/10, AZ 8.6/10. Sur 25 confrontations directes : 15 victoires Feyenoord, 4 nuls, 6 victoires AZ.
Score final : Feyenoord 1-0 AZ. L'algorithme avait prevu Feyenoord (49%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.