Ajaccio vs Troyes - Ligue 2 - Journee 14 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)
Score final : Ajaccio 1-0 Troyes
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Ajaccio favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Ajaccio, 0.6 pour Troyes. Ajaccio a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ajaccio ✓ | 45% | 1,74 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,21 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Troyes | 25% | 4,37 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,25 | -2,0% |
| Troyes marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,62 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 2,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,70 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,42 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,23 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 4,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,62 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,20 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ajaccio vs Troyes :
| Statistique | Ajaccio | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,92 | 0,55 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 8 | 4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 1 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 27 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 20 | 1.13 | DWDWLW | 6.7/10 |
| Troyes | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 13 | 1.17 | LLDDDW | 3.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Ajaccio has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Ajaccio has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Ajaccio is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Ajaccio at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Troyes's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Ajaccio from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Ajaccio has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Ajaccio will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Troyes, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Ajaccio has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 8 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Ajaccio has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/13 games for Ajaccio this season.
Coming into this game, Troyes has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Troyes has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Troyes has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Troyes as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Troyes will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Ajaccio, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Troyes récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
In the last 5 matches for Troyes, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (69% of all matches) involving Troyes has seen BTTS landing.
Ajaccio a battu Troyes 1-0 en Ligue 2 le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00 au Stade François Coty (Ajaccio). xG du match : 0.9 pour Ajaccio, 0.6 pour Troyes. Possession : 37% pour Ajaccio, 63% pour Troyes. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Ajaccio, 4 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Troyes. Indice de forme : Ajaccio 6.7/10, Troyes 3.6/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Ajaccio, 2 nuls, 7 victoires Troyes.
Score final : Ajaccio 1-0 Troyes. L'algorithme avait prevu Ajaccio (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.