Atromitos vs Panathinaikos - Super League grèque - Journee 14 - dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 18:30
Stade : Stadio Peristeriou (Athína (Athens))
Score final : Atromitos 3-2 Panathinaikos
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Panathinaikos favori avec 66% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme avait prévu Panathinaikos favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Atromitos, 1.8 pour Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Atromitos ✓ | 14% | 7,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 20% | 4,00 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Panathinaikos | 66% | 1,45 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,65 | 0,0% |
| Panathinaikos marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,13 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,80 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,80 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 3,10 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 1,93 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,36 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Atromitos vs Panathinaikos :
| Statistique | Atromitos | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,05 | 1,79 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 29% | 71% |
| Tirs | 11 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 1 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 36 | 93 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -10 | 15 | 1.13 | DWDDDL | 5.2/10 |
| Panathinaikos | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +28 | 31 | 1.76 | WDWLWW | 8.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Atromitos has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Atromitos has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Atromitos at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Panathinaikos's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Atromitos from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Atromitos as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Atromitos ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Atromitos is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Panathinaikos, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Atromitos has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Atromitos has seen a total of 9/13 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 69% of all matches played.
It's likely that Atromitos will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Panathinaikos has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Panathinaikos has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Panathinaikos has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Panathinaikos will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Atromitos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Panathinaikos has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/13 games for Panathinaikos this season.
Atromitos a battu Panathinaikos 3-2 en Super League grèque le dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 18:30 au Stadio Peristeriou (Athína (Athens)). xG du match : 1.1 pour Atromitos, 1.8 pour Panathinaikos. Possession : 29% pour Atromitos, 71% pour Panathinaikos. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Atromitos, 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Panathinaikos. Indice de forme : Atromitos 5.2/10, Panathinaikos 8.9/10. Sur 26 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Atromitos, 4 nuls, 17 victoires Panathinaikos.
Score final : Atromitos 3-2 Panathinaikos. L'algorithme avait prevu Panathinaikos (66%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.