Rodez vs Guingamp - Ligue 2 - Journee 14 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez)
Score final : Rodez 0-0 Guingamp
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Rodez favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Rodez favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.7 pour Rodez, 1.3 pour Guingamp. Guingamp a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Rodez | 48% | 2,29 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 3,10 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Guingamp | 25% | 2,81 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 82% | 1,29 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Guingamp marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,33 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,73 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,95 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,33 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 2,08 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,75 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,71 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,25 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Rodez vs Guingamp :
| Statistique | Rodez | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,74 | 1,27 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 7 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 0 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 58 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | 1.63 | WLWDDL | 4/10 |
| Guingamp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 20 | 1.49 | DDWLLW | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Rodez has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Rodez has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Rodez has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Guingamp's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Rodez from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Rodez ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Rodez has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Rodez has seen a total of 11/13 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 85% of all matches played.
It's likely that Rodez will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Guingamp has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Guingamp has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Guingamp has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Guingamp as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Guingamp is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Rodez, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Guingamp, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (46% of all matches) involving Guingamp has seen BTTS landing.
Rodez a fait match nul contre Guingamp 0-0 en Ligue 2 le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00 au Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez). xG du match : 0.7 pour Rodez, 1.3 pour Guingamp. Possession : 47% pour Rodez, 53% pour Guingamp. Tirs : 7 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Rodez, 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Guingamp. Indice de forme : Rodez 4/10, Guingamp 5.9/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Rodez, 4 nuls, 3 victoires Guingamp.
Score final : Rodez 0-0 Guingamp. L'algorithme avait prevu Rodez (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.