Angers SCO vs Caen - Ligue 2 - Journee 15 - lundi 27 novembre 2023 à 19:45
Stade : Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)
Score final : Angers SCO 3-0 Caen
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Angers SCO favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Angers SCO, 1.3 pour Caen. Angers SCO a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Angers SCO ✓ | 48% | 1,91 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,40 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Caen | 26% | 3,60 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,29 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Caen marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,48 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,91 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 40% | 1,80 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,38 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 2,06 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 3,80 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 1,70 | -18,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,22 | -19,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Angers SCO vs Caen :
| Statistique | Angers SCO | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,77 | 1,28 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 13 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 3 |
| Corners | 2 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 60 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 | 1.43 | WWWLWD | 7.1/10 |
| Caen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 16 | 1.38 | DLDDLD | 2.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Angers SCO has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Angers SCO has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Angers SCO is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Angers SCO at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Caen's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Angers SCO from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Angers SCO est sur une bonne dynamique et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Angers SCO ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Angers SCO will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Caen, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Angers SCO has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/14 games for Angers SCO this season.
Coming into this game, Caen has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Caen has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Caen when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Angers SCO stop this run?
Il est possible que nous voyons quelques buts ici, les 6 derniers matchs de Caen s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Can Caen turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
The last 5 games for Caen has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Caen has seen a total of 9/14 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 64% of all matches played.
It's likely that Caen will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Angers SCO a battu Caen 3-0 en Ligue 2 le lundi 27 novembre 2023 à 19:45 au Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers). xG du match : 1.8 pour Angers SCO, 1.3 pour Caen. Possession : 48% pour Angers SCO, 52% pour Caen. Tirs : 13 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Angers SCO, 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Caen. Indice de forme : Angers SCO 7.1/10, Caen 2.4/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Angers SCO, 4 nuls, 2 victoires Caen.
Score final : Angers SCO 3-0 Caen. L'algorithme avait prevu Angers SCO (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.