Bayern München vs Stuttgart - Bundesliga - Journee 15 - dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 18:30
Stade : Allianz Arena (München)
Score final : Bayern München 3-0 Stuttgart
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bayern München favori avec 80% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Bayern München, 0.9 pour Stuttgart. Bayern München a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bayern München ✓ | 80% | 1,36 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 13% | 5,50 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Stuttgart | 7% | 7,50 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,06 | 0,0% |
| Stuttgart marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,42 | -17,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,53 | -15,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,38 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,11 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,27 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,87 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 3,27 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,95 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bayern München vs Stuttgart :
| Statistique | Bayern München | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,77 | 0,89 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 18 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 47 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +30 | 32 | 2.09 | WWWWWL | 8.3/10 |
| Stuttgart | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +18 | 31 | 1.78 | WLDWWW | 5.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Bayern München has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Bayern München has scored 18 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bayern München is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Bayern München at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Le Bayern München sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record d'au moins un but inscrit dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Bayern München has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 6 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Bayern München has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 7 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Bayern München will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Stuttgart, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Bayern München has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/13 games for Bayern München this season.
It's likely that Bayern München will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 18 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Stuttgart has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Stuttgart has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Stuttgart as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Stuttgart ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Stuttgart will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bayern München, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Stuttgart, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (57% of all matches) involving Stuttgart has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Stuttgart will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Bayern München a battu Stuttgart 3-0 en Bundesliga le dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 18:30 au Allianz Arena (München). xG du match : 1.8 pour Bayern München, 0.9 pour Stuttgart. Possession : 37% pour Bayern München, 63% pour Stuttgart. Tirs : 18 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Bayern München, 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Stuttgart. Indice de forme : Bayern München 8.3/10, Stuttgart 5.5/10. Sur 33 confrontations directes : 25 victoires Bayern München, 4 nuls, 4 victoires Stuttgart.
Score final : Bayern München 3-0 Stuttgart. L'algorithme avait prevu Bayern München (80%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.