CD Eldense vs Mirandés - Liga 2 - Journee 16 - dimanche 19 novembre 2023 à 15:15
Stade : Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)
Score final : CD Eldense 2-2 Mirandés
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Eldense favori avec 43% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu CD Eldense favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.8 pour CD Eldense, 0.8 pour Mirandés. CD Eldense a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CD Eldense | 43% | 1,39 | -29,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 6,06 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Mirandés | 27% | 4,41 | +4,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Eldense marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,29 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Mirandés marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,48 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,91 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,80 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,40 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 2,11 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 4,00 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,65 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,25 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CD Eldense vs Mirandés :
| Statistique | CD Eldense | Mirandés |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,8 | 0,84 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 52% | 48% |
| Tirs | 21 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 4 |
| Corners | 7 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Eldense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1.13 | DLWDWL | 8.4/10 |
| Mirandés | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 | 1.31 | LDWWDL | 4.3/10 |
Coming into this game, CD Eldense has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. CD Eldense has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Eldense has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Mirandés's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop CD Eldense from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for CD Eldense as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for CD Eldense ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
CD Eldense is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Mirandés, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for CD Eldense, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (53% of all matches) involving CD Eldense has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that CD Eldense will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Mirandés has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Mirandés has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Mirandés has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Mirandés ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Mirandés will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CD Eldense, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Mirandés, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (60% of all matches) involving Mirandés has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Mirandés will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
CD Eldense a fait match nul contre Mirandés 2-2 en Liga 2 le dimanche 19 novembre 2023 à 15:15 au Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda). xG du match : 1.8 pour CD Eldense, 0.8 pour Mirandés. Possession : 52% pour CD Eldense, 48% pour Mirandés. Tirs : 21 (dont 7 cadrés) pour CD Eldense, 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Mirandés. Indice de forme : CD Eldense 8.4/10, Mirandés 4.3/10.
Score final : CD Eldense 2-2 Mirandés. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Eldense (43%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.