PAOK vs OFI - Super League grèque - Journee 16 - mercredi 3 janvier 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki)
Score final : PAOK 4-0 OFI
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PAOK favori avec 77% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour PAOK, 1.7 pour OFI. PAOK a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire PAOK ✓ | 77% | 1,23 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 16% | 5,78 | -1,0% |
| Victoire OFI | 7% | 9,61 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,07 | -2,0% |
| OFI marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,98 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,20 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,62 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,20 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,65 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 37% | 2,70 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,20 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,47 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour PAOK vs OFI :
| Statistique | PAOK | OFI |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,06 | 1,74 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 18 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 10 | 8 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +28 | 35 | 1.62 | LWWDLD | 2/10 |
| OFI | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 15 | 1.37 | DDWDWD | 0.3/10 |
Coming into this game, PAOK has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. PAOK has scored 20 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PAOK is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from PAOK at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
OFI's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop PAOK from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for PAOK as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 11 derniers matchs du PAOK s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
PAOK has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
PAOK is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against OFI, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 20 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for PAOK has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/15 games for PAOK this season.
It's likely that PAOK will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 20 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, OFI has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. OFI has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can OFI turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for OFI recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
OFI has fired blanks in 6 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for OFI has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/15 games for OFI this season.
OFI will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.87 goals per game.
PAOK a battu OFI 4-0 en Super League grèque le mercredi 3 janvier 2024 à 18:00 au Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki). xG du match : 2.1 pour PAOK, 1.7 pour OFI. Possession : 47% pour PAOK, 53% pour OFI. Tirs : 18 (dont 10 cadrés) pour PAOK, 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour OFI. Indice de forme : PAOK 2/10, OFI 0.3/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 13 victoires PAOK, 4 nuls, 2 victoires OFI.
Score final : PAOK 4-0 OFI. L'algorithme avait prevu PAOK (77%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.