Real Oviedo vs SD Eibar - Liga 2 - Journee 16 - dimanche 19 novembre 2023 à 15:15
Stade : Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)
Score final : Real Oviedo 2-1 SD Eibar
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Oviedo favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Real Oviedo, 1.0 pour SD Eibar. Real Oviedo a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Oviedo ✓ | 35% | 4,72 | +14,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,44 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire SD Eibar | 32% | 1,65 | -29,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,50 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| SD Eibar marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,43 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 2,20 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,62 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,52 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,69 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 5,10 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,41 | -18,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,12 | -14,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Oviedo vs SD Eibar :
| Statistique | Real Oviedo | SD Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,19 | 0,99 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 10 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 64 | 45 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 19 | 1.10 | LWLWLD | 6.1/10 |
| SD Eibar | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 | 1.50 | DWLWDL | 7.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Oviedo has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Real Oviedo has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Oviedo a aimé jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite.
SD Eibar's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Oviedo from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Oviedo as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Oviedo has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Real Oviedo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against SD Eibar, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Real Oviedo récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Real Oviedo has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 53% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Real Oviedo has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/15 games for Real Oviedo this season.
Coming into this game, SD Eibar has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. SD Eibar has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superbe parcours de SD Eibar à l'extérieur, où l'équipe est actuellement invaincue depuis 5 matchs. Peuvent-ils enchaîner un nouveau match sans défaite ?
Scoring is not an issue for SD Eibar when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Real Oviedo stop this run?
Momentum is really building for SD Eibar as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for SD Eibar ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
SD Eibar is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Oviedo, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for SD Eibar has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season SD Eibar has seen a total of 10/15 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that SD Eibar will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Real Oviedo a battu SD Eibar 2-1 en Liga 2 le dimanche 19 novembre 2023 à 15:15 au Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo). xG du match : 1.2 pour Real Oviedo, 1.0 pour SD Eibar. Possession : 53% pour Real Oviedo, 47% pour SD Eibar. Tirs : 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Real Oviedo, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour SD Eibar. Indice de forme : Real Oviedo 6.1/10, SD Eibar 7.1/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Real Oviedo, 4 nuls, 4 victoires SD Eibar.
Score final : Real Oviedo 2-1 SD Eibar. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Oviedo (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.