Cittadella vs Spezia - Serie B - Journee 18 - samedi 23 décembre 2023 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)
Score final : Cittadella 4-1 Spezia
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Cittadella favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.2 pour Cittadella, 1.8 pour Spezia. Cittadella a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cittadella ✓ | 39% | 2,42 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,15 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Spezia | 30% | 3,05 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,34 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Spezia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,49 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,00 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,70 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,44 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,25 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 29% | 4,33 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,58 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,19 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cittadella vs Spezia :
| Statistique | Cittadella | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,17 | 1,75 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 26 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 6 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 75 | 78 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 29 | 1.37 | WWWWWD | 8.5/10 |
| Spezia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 16 | 1.44 | DDLLWW | 4.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Cittadella has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Cittadella has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cittadella is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Spezia's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cittadella from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Cittadella as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cittadella has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Cittadella is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Spezia, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Cittadella has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/17 games for Cittadella this season.
It's likely that Cittadella will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Spezia has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Spezia has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Spezia a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Spezia has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 53% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 6 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Spezia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (41% of all matches) involving Spezia has seen BTTS landing.
Cittadella a battu Spezia 4-1 en Serie B le samedi 23 décembre 2023 à 13:00 au Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella). xG du match : 2.2 pour Cittadella, 1.8 pour Spezia. Possession : 49% pour Cittadella, 51% pour Spezia. Tirs : 26 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Cittadella, 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Spezia. Indice de forme : Cittadella 8.5/10, Spezia 4.4/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Cittadella, 6 nuls, 7 victoires Spezia.
Score final : Cittadella 4-1 Spezia. L'algorithme avait prevu Cittadella (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.