NEC vs Twente - Eredivisie - Journee 18 - samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)
Score final : NEC 1-0 Twente
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Twente favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme avait prévu Twente favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.2 pour NEC, 1.0 pour Twente. NEC a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire NEC ✓ | 21% | 3,75 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 3,75 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Twente | 55% | 1,81 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,38 | 0,0% |
| Twente marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 88% | 1,15 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,62 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 37% | 2,20 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 85% | 1,21 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,65 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,66 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 34% | 2,06 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,45 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour NEC vs Twente :
| Statistique | NEC | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,24 | 1,04 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 24 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 66 | 51 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +3 | 22 | 1.32 | DLWLWL | 6.7/10 |
| Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | +16 | 37 | 1.72 | WLWLWW | 6.3/10 |
Coming into this game, NEC has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. NEC has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le NEC aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
NEC has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 9 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for NEC as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 17 games for NEC ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
NEC will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Twente, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
The last 5 games for NEC has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season NEC has seen a total of 14/17 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 82% of all matches played.
It's likely that NEC will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Twente has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Twente has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Twente away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Twente when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can NEC stop this run?
La dynamique est réellement positive pour Twente qui reste sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite. Ils ont remporté 3 de leurs 5 derniers matchs joués.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Twente ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Twente will be looking to keep up the momentum today against NEC, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Twente, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (65% of all matches) involving Twente has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Twente will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
NEC a battu Twente 1-0 en Eredivisie le samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:30 au Goffertstadion (Nijmegen). xG du match : 2.2 pour NEC, 1.0 pour Twente. Possession : 48% pour NEC, 52% pour Twente. Tirs : 24 (dont 9 cadrés) pour NEC, 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Twente. Indice de forme : NEC 6.7/10, Twente 6.3/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 5 victoires NEC, 2 nuls, 10 victoires Twente.
Score final : NEC 1-0 Twente. L'algorithme avait prevu Twente (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.