Villarreal II vs SD Eibar - Liga 2 - Journee 18 - lundi 4 décembre 2023 à 19:30
Stade : Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
Score final : Villarreal II 1-0 SD Eibar
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit SD Eibar favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu SD Eibar favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.4 pour Villarreal II, 0.7 pour SD Eibar. Villarreal II a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Villarreal II ✓ | 32% | 3,75 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire SD Eibar | 36% | 1,95 | -15,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,43 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| SD Eibar marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,21 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,75 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,95 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,29 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,85 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,20 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,91 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,30 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Villarreal II vs SD Eibar :
| Statistique | Villarreal II | SD Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,35 | 0,71 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 60% | 40% |
| Tirs | 27 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 0 |
| Corners | 9 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 82 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 17 | 1.29 | LLLWDL | 1.6/10 |
| SD Eibar | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +9 | 30 | 1.51 | DWLWDL | 6.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Villarreal II has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Villarreal II has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Villarreal II recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Villarreal II has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Villarreal II has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/17 games for Villarreal II this season.
Villarreal II will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 1 times and overall this season they have scored 1.18 goals per game.
Coming into this game, SD Eibar has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. SD Eibar has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for SD Eibar when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Villarreal II stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for SD Eibar ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
SD Eibar will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Villarreal II, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for SD Eibar has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season SD Eibar has seen a total of 12/17 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 71% of all matches played.
It's likely that SD Eibar will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Villarreal II a battu SD Eibar 1-0 en Liga 2 le lundi 4 décembre 2023 à 19:30 au Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal). xG du match : 2.4 pour Villarreal II, 0.7 pour SD Eibar. Possession : 60% pour Villarreal II, 40% pour SD Eibar. Tirs : 27 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Villarreal II, 7 (dont 0 cadrés) pour SD Eibar. Indice de forme : Villarreal II 1.6/10, SD Eibar 6.3/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Villarreal II, 1 nul, 1 victoire SD Eibar.
Score final : Villarreal II 1-0 SD Eibar. L'algorithme avait prevu SD Eibar (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.