Angers SCO vs Guingamp - Ligue 2 - Journee 19 - mardi 19 décembre 2023 à 19:45
Stade : Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)
Score final : Angers SCO 1-0 Guingamp
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Angers SCO favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Angers SCO, 2.0 pour Guingamp. Guingamp a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Angers SCO ✓ | 35% | 2,20 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,00 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Guingamp | 32% | 3,70 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,24 | -8,0% |
| Guingamp marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,87 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,87 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,36 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,38 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,75 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,53 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,25 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Angers SCO vs Guingamp :
| Statistique | Angers SCO | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,96 | 1,96 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 9 | 22 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 49 | 65 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 37 | 1.39 | WDWDWW | 8.5/10 |
| Guingamp | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +8 | 27 | 1.50 | LLWDLL | 4.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Angers SCO has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Angers SCO has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Angers SCO is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 7 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Angers SCO at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Guingamp's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Angers SCO from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Angers SCO as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Angers SCO is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Guingamp, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Angers SCO, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (33% of all matches) involving Angers SCO has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Angers SCO will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Guingamp has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Guingamp has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Guingamp away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour Guingamp récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Guingamp has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Guingamp has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/18 games for Guingamp this season.
Angers SCO a battu Guingamp 1-0 en Ligue 2 le mardi 19 décembre 2023 à 19:45 au Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers). xG du match : 1.0 pour Angers SCO, 2.0 pour Guingamp. Possession : 48% pour Angers SCO, 52% pour Guingamp. Tirs : 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Angers SCO, 22 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Guingamp. Indice de forme : Angers SCO 8.5/10, Guingamp 4.9/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Angers SCO, 3 nuls, 5 victoires Guingamp.
Score final : Angers SCO 1-0 Guingamp. L'algorithme avait prevu Angers SCO (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.