Brescia vs Parma - Serie B - Journee 19 - mardi 26 décembre 2023 à 14:00
Stade : Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)
Score final : Brescia 0-2 Parma
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Brescia, 1.4 pour Parma. Parma a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Brescia | 29% | 2,84 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,03 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Parma ✓ | 39% | 2,28 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brescia marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,41 | -2,0% |
| Parma marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,83 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,85 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,38 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,10 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,70 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,65 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,24 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Brescia vs Parma :
| Statistique | Brescia | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,79 | 1,4 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 9 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 0 | 7 |
| Corners | 2 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 46 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brescia | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 25 | 1.24 | DDWDWW | 7.3/10 |
| Parma | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 38 | 1.50 | LDWDDW | 5.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Brescia has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Brescia has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Brescia as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Brescia ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Brescia is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Parma, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Brescia, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (47% of all matches) involving Brescia has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Brescia will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Parma has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Parma has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Brescia, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Parma, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (61% of all matches) involving Parma has seen BTTS landing.
Brescia a perdu contre Parma 0-2 en Serie B le mardi 26 décembre 2023 à 14:00 au Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia). xG du match : 0.8 pour Brescia, 1.4 pour Parma. Possession : 53% pour Brescia, 47% pour Parma. Tirs : 9 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Brescia, 11 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Parma. Indice de forme : Brescia 7.3/10, Parma 5.6/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Brescia, 1 nul, 4 victoires Parma.
Score final : Brescia 0-2 Parma. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.