AEK Athens vs Asteras Tripolis - Super League grèque - Journee 21 - dimanche 4 février 2024 à 15:30
Stade : OPAP Arena (Athína (Athens))
Score final : AEK Athens 4-2 Asteras Tripolis
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit AEK Athens favori avec 83% de chances de victoire (nul 12%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.4 pour AEK Athens, 1.0 pour Asteras Tripolis. AEK Athens a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire AEK Athens ✓ | 83% | 1,21 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 12% | 6,25 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Asteras Tripolis | 5% | 13,00 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 93% | 1,05 | -2,0% |
| Asteras Tripolis marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,20 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 36% | 2,38 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,53 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,15 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,62 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,35 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,16 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,52 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour AEK Athens vs Asteras Tripolis :
| Statistique | AEK Athens | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,4 | 1,03 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 2 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 25 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 90 | 51 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +26 | 45 | 1.86 | WWWLLW | 8.9/10 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 32 | 1.18 | LLWLDW | 6.1/10 |
Coming into this game, AEK Athens has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AEK Athens has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from AEK Athens at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
L'AEK Athens aura the confiance nécessaire pour marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
AEK Athens has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for AEK Athens as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 7 games involving AEK Athens has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Asteras Tripolis get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for AEK Athens, both home and away.
AEK Athens has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
AEK Athens is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Asteras Tripolis, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AEK Athens has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/20 games for AEK Athens this season.
It's likely that AEK Athens will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Asteras Tripolis has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Asteras Tripolis has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
In the last 5 matches for Asteras Tripolis, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (45% of all matches) involving Asteras Tripolis has seen BTTS landing.
AEK Athens a battu Asteras Tripolis 4-2 en Super League grèque le dimanche 4 février 2024 à 15:30 au OPAP Arena (Athína (Athens)). xG du match : 2.4 pour AEK Athens, 1.0 pour Asteras Tripolis. Possession : 58% pour AEK Athens, 42% pour Asteras Tripolis. Tirs : 25 (dont 8 cadrés) pour AEK Athens, 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Asteras Tripolis. Indice de forme : AEK Athens 8.9/10, Asteras Tripolis 6.1/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 12 victoires AEK Athens, 6 nuls, 3 victoires Asteras Tripolis.
Score final : AEK Athens 4-2 Asteras Tripolis. L'algorithme avait prevu AEK Athens (83%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.