Cosenza vs Venezia - Serie B - Journee 21 - samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:15
Stade : Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)
Score final : Cosenza 4-2 Venezia
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Venezia favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Venezia favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Cosenza, 1.5 pour Venezia. Cosenza a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cosenza ✓ | 29% | 2,78 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,15 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Venezia | 39% | 2,30 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cosenza marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,41 | -4,0% |
| Venezia marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,31 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,88 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,80 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,63 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 23% | 3,90 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 2,02 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,19 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cosenza vs Venezia :
| Statistique | Cosenza | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,52 | 1,49 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 2 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 23 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 36 | 42 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 21 | 1.32 | LLDDLL | 0.5/10 |
| Venezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +13 | 38 | 1.36 | WLLDDW | 4.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Cosenza has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Cosenza has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Cosenza turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Cosenza recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Cosenza has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Cosenza has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/20 games for Cosenza this season.
Coming into this game, Venezia has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Venezia has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Venezia has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Venezia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Cosenza get in on the action today? There has been a total of 22 goals in the last 5 games for Venezia, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Venezia, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (60% of all matches) involving Venezia has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Venezia will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Cosenza a battu Venezia 4-2 en Serie B le samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 15:15 au Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza). xG du match : 1.5 pour Cosenza, 1.5 pour Venezia. Possession : 43% pour Cosenza, 57% pour Venezia. Tirs : 23 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Cosenza, 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Venezia. Indice de forme : Cosenza 0.5/10, Venezia 4.5/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Cosenza, 6 nuls, 2 victoires Venezia.
Score final : Cosenza 4-2 Venezia. L'algorithme avait prevu Venezia (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.