Ternana vs Cittadella - Serie B - Journee 21 - samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)
Score final : Ternana 3-1 Cittadella
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Cittadella favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme avait prévu Cittadella favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Ternana, 1.9 pour Cittadella. Cittadella a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ternana ✓ | 30% | 2,75 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Cittadella | 37% | 2,55 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,36 | -5,0% |
| Cittadella marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,36 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,90 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,83 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,40 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,17 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 23% | 4,20 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,54 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,20 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ternana vs Cittadella :
| Statistique | Ternana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,56 | 1,86 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 16 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 5 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 24 | 79 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 18 | 1.38 | WWWLDL | 4.8/10 |
| Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 36 | 1.43 | WWDWDW | 8.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Ternana has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Ternana has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Ternana has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Cittadella's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Ternana from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Ternana ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Ternana has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Ternana has seen a total of 14/20 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 70% of all matches played.
It's likely that Ternana will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Cittadella has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Cittadella has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cittadella has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Cittadella as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cittadella has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Cittadella is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Ternana, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Cittadella has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/20 games for Cittadella this season.
Ternana a battu Cittadella 3-1 en Serie B le samedi 20 janvier 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni). xG du match : 1.6 pour Ternana, 1.9 pour Cittadella. Possession : 43% pour Ternana, 57% pour Cittadella. Tirs : 16 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Ternana, 20 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Cittadella. Indice de forme : Ternana 4.8/10, Cittadella 8.1/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Ternana, 6 nuls, 4 victoires Cittadella.
Score final : Ternana 3-1 Cittadella. L'algorithme avait prevu Cittadella (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.