FeralpiSalò vs Lecco - Serie B - Journee 22 - samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 15:15
Stade : Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)
Score final : FeralpiSalò 5-1 Lecco
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit FeralpiSalò favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour FeralpiSalò, 1.7 pour Lecco. Lecco a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FeralpiSalò ✓ | 42% | 2,00 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,30 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Lecco | 28% | 3,40 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeralpiSalò marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,25 | -1,0% |
| Lecco marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,44 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,80 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,91 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,28 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,86 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 3,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,75 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,28 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FeralpiSalò vs Lecco :
| Statistique | FeralpiSalò | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,49 | 1,68 |
| Buts marqués | 5 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 12 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 8 |
| Corners | 1 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 58 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeralpiSalò | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -16 | 17 | 1.24 | LWWDLW | 5.7/10 |
| Lecco | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 20 | 1.41 | LLDWLL | 1.3/10 |
Coming into this game, FeralpiSalò has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FeralpiSalò has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FeralpiSalò has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Lecco's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop FeralpiSalò from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
FeralpiSalò will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Lecco, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
FeralpiSalò has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 9 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FeralpiSalò has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/21 games for FeralpiSalò this season.
Coming into this game, Lecco has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Lecco has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Lecco ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Lecco has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 38% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 10 goals.
The last 5 games for Lecco has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Lecco has seen a total of 12/21 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 57% of all matches played.
It's likely that Lecco will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
FeralpiSalò a battu Lecco 5-1 en Serie B le samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 15:15 au Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza). xG du match : 1.5 pour FeralpiSalò, 1.7 pour Lecco. Possession : 47% pour FeralpiSalò, 53% pour Lecco. Tirs : 12 (dont 8 cadrés) pour FeralpiSalò, 13 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Lecco. Indice de forme : FeralpiSalò 5.7/10, Lecco 1.3/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 3 victoires FeralpiSalò, 2 nuls, 1 victoire Lecco.
Score final : FeralpiSalò 5-1 Lecco. L'algorithme avait prevu FeralpiSalò (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.