Modena vs Parma - Serie B - Journee 22 - samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)
Score final : Modena 3-0 Parma
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu Parma favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Modena, 1.7 pour Parma. Parma a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Modena ✓ | 28% | 2,93 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,35 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Parma | 42% | 2,27 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,41 | -2,0% |
| Parma marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,30 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,88 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,80 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,38 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,18 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 3,95 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,64 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,26 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Modena vs Parma :
| Statistique | Modena | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,9 | 1,71 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 7 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 1 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 22 | 63 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 28 | 1.36 | LDWLDW | 0.4/10 |
| Parma | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +23 | 45 | 1.49 | DDWWDW | 7.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Modena has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Modena has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Parma's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Modena from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Modena ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Modena turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
In the last 5 matches for Modena, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (62% of all matches) involving Modena has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Parma has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Parma has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 4 derniers matchs de Parma s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Parma has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Modena, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Parma has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/21 games for Parma this season.
It's likely that Parma will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Modena a battu Parma 3-0 en Serie B le samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena). xG du match : 0.9 pour Modena, 1.7 pour Parma. Possession : 43% pour Modena, 57% pour Parma. Tirs : 7 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Modena, 19 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Parma. Indice de forme : Modena 0.4/10, Parma 7.8/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Modena, 3 nuls, 1 victoire Parma.
Score final : Modena 3-0 Parma. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.