PAOK vs AEK Athens - Super League grèque - Journee 22 - dimanche 11 février 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki)
Score final : PAOK 1-1 AEK Athens
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PAOK favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu PAOK favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour PAOK, 1.1 pour AEK Athens. PAOK a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire PAOK | 37% | 2,50 | -3,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 32% | 3,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire AEK Athens | 31% | 2,90 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,25 | -4,0% |
| AEK Athens marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,29 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,67 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,10 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,25 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,82 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,00 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,88 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,40 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour PAOK vs AEK Athens :
| Statistique | PAOK | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,47 | 1,13 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 12 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | +42 | 50 | 1.69 | LDWWWW | 9.4/10 |
| AEK Athens | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | +28 | 48 | 1.89 | WWWLLW | 9.7/10 |
Coming into this game, PAOK has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. PAOK has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PAOK is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 8 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from PAOK at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
AEK Athens's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop PAOK from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for PAOK as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 17 games for PAOK ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PAOK will be looking to keep up the momentum today against AEK Athens, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for PAOK, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (43% of all matches) involving PAOK has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that PAOK will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Avant d'aborder cette rencontre, l'AEK Athènes a pris 13 points lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, à domicile comme à l'extérieur. Cela fait 2,6 points par match en moyenne. Le BTTS s'est produit dans 3 de ces matchs, ce qui est intéressant. L'AEK Athènes a marqué 16 fois lors de ses 5 dernières rencontres.
Superb stuff from AEK Athens away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for AEK Athens when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can PAOK stop this run?
Momentum is really building for AEK Athens as they have now gone 15 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 8 games involving AEK Athens has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will PAOK get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for AEK Athens, both home and away.
AEK Athens is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against PAOK, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 16 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for AEK Athens, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (52% of all matches) involving AEK Athens has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that AEK Athens will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 16 goals in the last five games.
PAOK a fait match nul contre AEK Athens 1-1 en Super League grèque le dimanche 11 février 2024 à 18:00 au Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki). xG du match : 1.5 pour PAOK, 1.1 pour AEK Athens. Possession : 43% pour PAOK, 57% pour AEK Athens. Tirs : 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour PAOK, 11 (dont 6 cadrés) pour AEK Athens. Indice de forme : PAOK 9.4/10, AEK Athens 9.7/10. Sur 35 confrontations directes : 14 victoires PAOK, 9 nuls, 12 victoires AEK Athens.
Score final : PAOK 1-1 AEK Athens. L'algorithme avait prevu PAOK (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.