Queens Park Rangers vs Southampton - Championship - Journee 23 - samedi 23 décembre 2023 à 15:00
Stade : MATRADE Loftus Road (London)
Score final : Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Southampton
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Southampton favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Queens Park Rangers, 1.2 pour Southampton. Southampton a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Queens Park Rangers | 27% | 3,90 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,60 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Southampton ✓ | 41% | 1,83 | -14,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,49 | -1,0% |
| Southampton marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,17 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,80 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,28 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,87 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 3,20 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,98 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,36 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Queens Park Rangers vs Southampton :
| Statistique | Queens Park Rangers | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,07 | 1,2 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 13 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -12 | 20 | 1.16 | LDLWWW | 5.5/10 |
| Southampton | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +8 | 42 | 1.66 | LLWWDW | 7.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Queens Park Rangers has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Queens Park Rangers has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Queens Park Rangers aime jouer à domicile dernièrement, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite.
Queens Park Rangers has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Queens Park Rangers will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Southampton, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Queens Park Rangers has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 9 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Queens Park Rangers has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/22 games for Queens Park Rangers this season.
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Southampton has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Southampton away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Southampton when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Queens Park Rangers stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Southampton as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Southampton ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Southampton has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Southampton is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Queens Park Rangers, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Southampton has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/22 games for Southampton this season.
It's likely that Southampton will score today, as they have netted in the last 15 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Queens Park Rangers a perdu contre Southampton 0-1 en Championship le samedi 23 décembre 2023 à 15:00 au MATRADE Loftus Road (London). xG du match : 1.1 pour Queens Park Rangers, 1.2 pour Southampton. Possession : 38% pour Queens Park Rangers, 62% pour Southampton. Tirs : 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Queens Park Rangers, 15 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Southampton. Indice de forme : Queens Park Rangers 5.5/10, Southampton 7.3/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Queens Park Rangers, 1 nul, 4 victoires Southampton.
Score final : Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Southampton. L'algorithme avait prevu Southampton (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.