Cremonese vs Reggiana - Serie B - Journee 24 - samedi 10 février 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)
Score final : Cremonese 1-1 Reggiana
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Cremonese favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Cremonese favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.2 pour Cremonese, 1.1 pour Reggiana. Cremonese a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cremonese | 54% | 1,55 | -11,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 4,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Reggiana | 19% | 6,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,14 | -6,0% |
| Reggiana marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,68 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,75 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,22 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,90 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,20 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,95 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cremonese vs Reggiana :
| Statistique | Cremonese | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,19 | 1,06 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 25 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 76 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +16 | 44 | 1.68 | DWDLDW | 8.4/10 |
| Reggiana | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | -1 | 29 | 1.16 | WWDDWD | 6.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Cremonese has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Cremonese has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cremonese is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Reggiana's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cremonese from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Cremonese as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cremonese has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Cremonese will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Reggiana, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Cremonese has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/23 games for Cremonese this season.
It's likely that Cremonese will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Reggiana has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Reggiana has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Reggiana has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Reggiana as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 4 derniers matchs de Reggiana s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Reggiana is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Cremonese, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Reggiana, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (61% of all matches) involving Reggiana has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Reggiana will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Cremonese a fait match nul contre Reggiana 1-1 en Serie B le samedi 10 février 2024 à 13:00 au Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona). xG du match : 2.2 pour Cremonese, 1.1 pour Reggiana. Possession : 58% pour Cremonese, 42% pour Reggiana. Tirs : 25 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Cremonese, 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Reggiana. Indice de forme : Cremonese 8.4/10, Reggiana 6.8/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Cremonese, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Reggiana.
Score final : Cremonese 1-1 Reggiana. L'algorithme avait prevu Cremonese (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.