Real Oviedo vs Leganés - Liga 2 - Journee 24 - samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)
Score final : Real Oviedo 1-0 Leganés
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Oviedo favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Real Oviedo, 0.9 pour Leganés. Real Oviedo a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Oviedo ✓ | 48% | 2,20 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,10 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Leganés | 21% | 3,10 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,36 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Leganés marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,65 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,38 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,53 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,60 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,07 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 5,55 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,60 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,10 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Oviedo vs Leganés :
| Statistique | Real Oviedo | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 0,87 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 64% | 36% |
| Tirs | 13 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 34 | 1.22 | WLWLDW | 7/10 |
| Leganés | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +21 | 45 | 1.18 | DWLWDW | 5.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Oviedo has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Real Oviedo has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Real Oviedo at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Leganés's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Oviedo from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Oviedo as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Real Oviedo ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Real Oviedo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Leganés, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Real Oviedo has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Real Oviedo has seen a total of 11/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 48% of all matches played.
It's likely that Real Oviedo will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Leganés has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Leganés has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Leganés a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de 2 matchs.
Momentum is really building for Leganés as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 5 derniers matchs de Leganés s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Leganés is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Oviedo, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Leganés, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (39% of all matches) involving Leganés has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Leganés will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Real Oviedo a battu Leganés 1-0 en Liga 2 le samedi 27 janvier 2024 à 17:30 au Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo). xG du match : 1.4 pour Real Oviedo, 0.9 pour Leganés. Possession : 64% pour Real Oviedo, 36% pour Leganés. Tirs : 13 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Real Oviedo, 6 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Leganés. Indice de forme : Real Oviedo 7/10, Leganés 5.7/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Real Oviedo, 5 nuls, 5 victoires Leganés.
Score final : Real Oviedo 1-0 Leganés. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Oviedo (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.