Rodez vs Dunkerque - Ligue 2 - Journee 24 - samedi 10 février 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez)
Score final : Rodez 0-0 Dunkerque
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Rodez favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Rodez favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Rodez, 1.1 pour Dunkerque. Dunkerque a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Rodez | 47% | 1,67 | -13,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 3,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Dunkerque | 25% | 5,00 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,15 | -8,0% |
| Dunkerque marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,50 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,73 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,28 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,80 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,00 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,93 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,38 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Rodez vs Dunkerque :
| Statistique | Rodez | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,95 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 9 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 59 | 50 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 31 | 1.56 | DWWDLL | 3.8/10 |
| Dunkerque | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 23 | 1.34 | WLLWDD | 5.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Rodez has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Rodez has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Dunkerque's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Rodez from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Rodez ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Rodez has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Rodez has seen a total of 18/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 78% of all matches played.
It's likely that Rodez will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Dunkerque has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Dunkerque has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Dunkerque has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Dunkerque as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Dunkerque will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Rodez, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Dunkerque has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Dunkerque has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/23 games for Dunkerque this season.
It's likely that Dunkerque will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Rodez a fait match nul contre Dunkerque 0-0 en Ligue 2 le samedi 10 février 2024 à 18:00 au Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez). xG du match : 0.9 pour Rodez, 1.1 pour Dunkerque. Possession : 40% pour Rodez, 60% pour Dunkerque. Tirs : 9 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Rodez, 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Dunkerque. Indice de forme : Rodez 3.8/10, Dunkerque 5.7/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Rodez, 3 nuls, 1 victoire Dunkerque.
Score final : Rodez 0-0 Dunkerque. L'algorithme avait prevu Rodez (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.